| |
A |
B |
C |
D |
E |
F |
H |
K |
L |
M |
|---|
| 1 |
|
CFPE2021 Scenario Tool |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2 |
|
Instructions for use: Blue cells below are drop down menus. Select an electricity CI
(Cell D6) and a EV growth rate (Cell D7) from those drop downs,
and then in the Yellow Cell (Cell B11) input an initial population
of EVs for 2019. You can also specify a rate of improvement for
the CI of electricity from the dropdown in cell H6. |
| 3 |
|
Electricity CI Options: The CI of the options here are defined below in the table with
the green cells (Cells C20-D30). |
|
|
|
|
|
| 4 |
|
EV Growth Rate: The first four options are for a flat percent growth in the
EV population from 2020 onward. The DAS Baseline option uses
the growth rate that the DAS Office of Economic Analysis estimated
in their most recent Fuel Supply Forecast. |
| 5 |
|
The password for this sheet is CFP, we protected it to protect
the formulas. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 6 |
|
|
Pick an Electricity CI: |
Single year statewide mix with Boardman and specified utility
adjustment |
Annual electricity CI improvement rate: |
0% |
|
|
|
| 7 |
|
|
Pick a EV Growth Rate: |
DAS Baseline |
|
|
|
LDV EER |
3.4 |
|
| 8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Energy Density |
3.6 |
kWh/MJ |
| 9 |
|
Insert initial EV population in yellow cell |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 10 |
Year |
Total EVs (BEVs + PHEVs) |
Electricity CI (gCO2e/MJ) |
Total Electricity (kWh) |
Total Credits |
Credits/EV |
|
|
CFP Gasoline pool targets |
| 11 |
2019 |
29,000 |
130.59 |
89,972,500 |
64,073 |
2.21 |
|
2019 |
96.59 |
gCO2e/MJ |
| 12 |
2020 |
38,215 |
130.59 |
118,563,474 |
83,011 |
2.17 |
|
2020 |
95.61 |
2.50% |
| 13 |
2021 |
46,960 |
130.59 |
145,694,562 |
100,259 |
2.13 |
|
2021 |
94.63 |
3.50% |
| 14 |
2022 |
62,643 |
130.59 |
194,348,808 |
130,220 |
2.08 |
|
2022 |
93.15 |
5% |
| 15 |
2023 |
80,457 |
130.59 |
249,617,508 |
162,760 |
2.02 |
|
2023 |
91.68 |
6.50% |
| 16 |
2024 |
101,823 |
130.59 |
315,904,612 |
200,298 |
1.97 |
|
2024 |
90.21 |
8% |
| 17 |
2025 |
126,963 |
130.59 |
393,903,344 |
240,303 |
1.89 |
|
2025 |
88.25 |
10% |
| 18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 20 |
Growth Rate Options |
10% |
Electricity CI Description |
Electricity CI (gCO2e/MJ) |
|
CI improvement rates |
|
|
|
|
| 21 |
|
15% |
Natural gas mix at 0.428mt per mwh |
169.49 |
|
0% |
|
|
|
|
| 22 |
|
20% |
2020 Electricity CI under current rules |
107.92 |
|
0.50% |
|
|
|
|
| 23 |
|
25% |
Renewable power |
0.00 |
|
1% |
|
|
|
|
| 24 |
|
DAS Baseline |
Single year (2018) Statewide mix with specified utility adjustment |
135.77 |
|
1.50% |
|
|
|
|
| 25 |
2019 |
31.8% |
Single year (2018) statewide mix, Boardman at 0.428 |
104.02 |
|
2% |
|
|
|
|
| 26 |
2020 |
22.9% |
Single year statewide mix with Boardman and specified utility
adjustment |
130.59 |
|
2.50% |
|
|
|
|
| 27 |
2021 |
33.4% |
Single year (2018) BPA CI |
3.54 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 28 |
2022 |
28.4% |
Single year (2018) PGE CI |
122.65 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 29 |
2023 |
26.6% |
Single year (2018) PGE CI with Boardman adjustment |
112.74 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 30 |
2024 |
24.7% |
Single year (2018) PacifiCorp CI |
207.63 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 31 |
2025 |
22.8% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 32 |
2026 |
21.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 33 |
2027 |
19.2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 34 |
|
See excel model posted here: https://www.oregon.gov/das/oea/pages/forecastcleanfuels.aspx |
|
|
|
|
|
| 35 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 36 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 37 |
Date published: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 38 |
Date revised: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
