From: Jennifer Cline

Sent: Thu May 19 08:55:48 2016

To: Gerald Fisher

Subject: RE: 15202-2 Pavement Condition Index

Importance: Normal

 

Will you add this info to the previously provided spreadsheet?

Thanks,

Jennifer Cline, P.E. | Public Works Director

Licensed in OR, WA

City of Molalla

117 N Molalla Ave. | PO Box 248 * |Molalla, OR 97038

O: 503.759.0218 | F: 503.829.3676

From: Gerald Fisher [mailto:geraldf@pdgnw.com]

Sent: Wednesday, May 18, 2016 3:47 PM

To: Dan Huff (Molalla) <dhuff@cityofmolalla.com>; Jennifer Cline (Molalla) <jcline@cityofmolalla.com>; Heather Penni (Molalla) <hpenni@cityofmolalla.com>

Subject: RE: 15202-2 Pavement Condition Index

Sorry, I had a typo. The corrections are in red.

Assuming that there are 2900 accounts that would pay equally each month and organizing the scenarios from best PCI to worst PCI, here are the fees.

1. Unconstrained, which means a PCI of 84 in 10 years with no deferred maintenance, would be $47.13 per month.

2. Increase in 5 years to a PCI of 75 with $6.7 million in deferred maintenance would be $22.99 per month.

3. Increase in 10 years to a PCI of 75 with $7.1 million in deferred maintenance would be $31.61 per month.

4. Increase in 5 years to a PCI of 70 with $10.6 million in deferred maintenance would be $12.21 per month.

     

 

Budget

 

$/Month

 

Deferred

 

 

Unconst., 10 Years

 

$ 16,360,133

 

$ 47.01

 

$ -

 

PCI 70, 5 Years

 

$ 4,250,000

 

$ 12.21

 

$ 10,600,000

 

PCI 75, 5 Years

 

$ 8,000,000

 

$ 22.99

 

$ 6,700,000

 

PCI 75, 10 Years

 

$ 11,000,000

 

$ 31.61

 

$ 7,100,000

 

      

 

           

Regards,

Gerald Fisher, PE | Senior Project Manager

PROJECT DELIVERY GROUP, LLC | 3150 22nd Street SE; Salem, OR 97302

www.PDGNW.com | 503-364-4004 (O) | 503-679-9237 (C)

** CONFIDENTIALITY NOTICE: The information contained in this email message, including any attachments, is for the sole use of the intended recipient(s) and may contain confidential and privileged information. Any unauthorized review, use, disclosure or distribution is prohibited. If you are not the intended recipient and have received this communication in error, please contact the sender by reply email and destroy all copies of the original message. Thank you.

From: Gerald Fisher

Sent: Wednesday, May 18, 2016 3:39 PM

To: Dan Huff (Molalla) <dhuff@cityofmolalla.com>; Jennifer Cline (Molalla) <jcline@cityofmolalla.com>; Heather Penni (Molalla) <hpenni@cityofmolalla.com>

Subject: 15202-2 Pavement Condition Index

All,

I’m reviewing the final report from Capitol Asset & Pavement Services and have come up with an approximate monthly fee for each scenario. Please sit down.

Assuming that there are 2900 accounts that would pay equally each month and organizing the scenarios from best PCI to worst PCI, here are the fees.

1. Unconstrained, which means a PCI of 84 in 10 years with no deferred maintenance, would be $47.13 per month.

2. Increase in 5 years to a PCI of 75 with $6.7 million in deferred maintenance would be $22.99 per month.

3. Increase in 10 years to a PCI of 70 with $7.1 million in deferred maintenance would be $31.61 per month.

4. Increase in 5 years to a PCI of 70 with $10.6 million in deferred maintenance would be $12.21 per month.

Here’s a snapshot of the spreadsheet. Also, the unconstrained fee assumes equal costs per year which is not what the scenario calculated. The third column labeled “Needs” is what the model is recommending.

Number of customers

 

2900

 

  
 

Needs

 

$/Month

 

Average

 

$/Month

 

 

2016

 

$ 6,367,393

 

$ 182.97

 

$ 1,636,013

 

$ 47.01

 

 

2017

 

$ 1,435,124

 

$ 41.24

 

$ 1,636,013

 

$ 47.01

 

 

2018

 

$ 1,890,285

 

$ 54.32

 

$ 1,636,013

 

$ 47.01

 

 

2019

 

$ 3,330,094

 

$ 95.69

 

$ 1,636,013

 

$ 47.01

 

 

2020

 

$ 969,078

 

$ 27.85

 

$ 1,636,013

 

$ 47.01

 

 

2021

 

$ 208,551

 

$ 5.99

 

$ 1,636,013

 

$ 47.01

 

 

2022

 

$ 1,002,109

 

$ 28.80

 

$ 1,636,013

 

$ 47.01

 

 

2023

 

$ 132,688

 

$ 3.81

 

$ 1,636,013

 

$ 47.01

 

 

2024

 

$ 848,217

 

$ 24.37

 

$ 1,636,013

 

$ 47.01

 

 

2025

 

$ 176,594

 

$ 5.07

 

$ 1,636,013

 

$ 47.01

 

 

$ 16,360,133

 

 

$ 16,360,133

 

 
      
      
 

Budget

 

$/Month

 

Deferred

 

Unconst., 10 Years

 

$ 16,360,133

 

$ 47.01

 

$ -

 

PCI 70, 5 Years

 

$ 4,250,000

 

$ 12.21

 

$ 10,600,000

 

PCI 75, 5 Years

 

$ 8,000,000

 

$ 22.99

 

$ 6,700,000

 

PCI 70, 10 Years

 

$ 11,000,000

 

$ 31.61

 

$ 7,100,000

 

 
       

This should start a lively discussion and this is the simple method. If we go to a trip generation model then residential would pay less and commercial and industrial would pay more, significantly more.

Regards,

Gerald Fisher, PE | Senior Project Manager

PROJECT DELIVERY GROUP, LLC | 3150 22nd Street SE; Salem, OR 97302

www.PDGNW.com | 503-364-4004 (O) | 503-679-9237 (C)

** CONFIDENTIALITY NOTICE: The information contained in this email message, including any attachments, is for the sole use of the intended recipient(s) and may contain confidential and privileged information. Any unauthorized review, use, disclosure or distribution is prohibited. If you are not the intended recipient and have received this communication in error, please contact the sender by reply email and destroy all copies of the original message. Thank you.