From: Dan Zinder

Sent: Thu Apr 02 11:44:26 2020

To: Williams, Stephen; Dennis Yee

Cc: Alice Cannon; Dan Huff; Gerald Fisher

Subject: RE: Population and Employment Forecasts

Importance: Normal

Attachments: Form104_fillable - Signed.pdf; Confidentiality - Level 1 (no SSN) - Form #2592 - Huff.pdf; Confidentiality - Level 1 (no SSN) - Form #2592 - Cannon.pdf; Confidentiality - Level 1 (no SSN) - Form #2592 - Fisher.pdf; Confidentiality - Level 1 (no SSN) - Form #2592 - Zinder.pdf;

Steve and Dennis,

Please find Molalla’s forms attached.

Thank you,

Dan Zinder

From: Williams, Stephen <SWilliams@clackamas.us>

Sent: Friday, February 7, 2020 10:21 AM

To: Williams, Stephen <SWilliams@clackamas.us>; Alice Cannon <acannon@cityofmolalla.com>; brownb@ci.canby.or.us; Dan Huff <dhuff@cityofmolalla.com>; EgnerD@milwaukieoregon.gov; jboyd@westlinnoregon.gov; JWilliams@westlinnoregon.gov; koneill@ci.sandy.or.us; lterway@orcity.org; manager@cityofrivergrove.com; michaelw@ci.happy-valley.or.us; bateschell@ci.wilsonville.or.us; neamtzu@ci.wilsonville.or.us; ssiegel@ci.oswego.or.us; pauly@ci.wilsonville.or.us; LevitanD@milwaukieoregon.gov; jbriglio@happyvalleyor.gov; pwalter@orcity.org; potterr@canbyoregon.gov; AmanL@milwaukieoregon.gov; Buehrig, Karen <KarenB@clackamas.us>; mcynkar@happyvalleyor.gov; wilcoxson@cityofestacada.org; fadenrechtc@milwaukieoregon.gov; gprior@tualatin.gov; Jim Whynot <whynot@ci.gladstone.or.us>; wfarley@lakeoswego.city; Dan Zinder <dzinder@cityofmolalla.com>; Cross, Nicole <NCross@clackamas.us>; Fritzie, Martha <MFritzie@clackamas.us>; Setterfield, Brett <BSetterfield@clackamas.us>; rybold@ci.wilsonville.or.us; dsnider@ci.sandy.or.us; LevitanD@milwaukieoregon.gov; jboyd@westlinnoregon.gov

Cc: Buehrig, Karen <KarenB@clackamas.us>; freunds@canbyoregon.gov; Dennis Yee <Dennis.Yee@oregonmetro.gov>; Jim Cser <Jim.Cser@oregonmetro.gov>

Subject: Population and Employment Forecasts

Good Morning – I wanted to follow-up from our meeting earlier this week on the small area population and employment forecasts. For those of you that weren’t able to attend here are some points that were discussed:

• * The small area forecasts are critical for planning road capacity, and transit service, as well as water, wastewater and stormwater capacity for neighborhoods. Good small area forecasts help all of us correctly understand the capacity that is necessary in infrastructure systems.
• * The small area forecasts are heavily based on existing and expected land use and development rather than on population demographics in the manner of large area forecasts.
• * Producing good forecasts requires a good understanding of development codes and developable property at a neighborhood level.
• * The people who know that the best are the planners for the cities and the county.

To make sure that they are getting the best information possible in the small area forecasts, Metro wants to actively engage with us a with the cities and the county to draw on our experience and knowledge of the neighborhoods and small areas in each locality. The process for that engagement will be as follows:

• * There is confidential employment data involved, so the first step is for you to submit completed confidentiality forms: Each local government needs to submit one completed Form 104 that commits that government to observing the confidentiality requirements of the Oregon Employment Department for the employment data that you will be reviewing. You will also need to submit one Form 2592 for each member of your team on which that individual commits to observing the confidentiality requirements in their work with the employment data. If you have not yet returned those forms, I have attached them for your use. Please return one completed Form 104 for your local government and one Form 2592 for each member of your staff, elected official, or citizen volunteer like a planning commissioner who will work directly with the employment data. Please email those forms to me (swilliams@clackamas.us) or to Dennis Yee, Metro Economist (Dennis.Yee@oregonmetro.gov).
• * Once you have submitted those forms Metro will send you Excel spreadsheets/GIS shapefiles containing the draft population and employment data that Metro has prepared for the small areas within your locality.
• * All you need to do is review the small area data for the small areas within your city and your UGMA. If you can accept the small area data as it, then all you need to do is tell Dennis. If you would like changes, you need to enter the changes and provide a reason for that change. Metro will then incorporate those changes into the small area population and employment forecasts.

For most of the cities in Clackamas County, there will be a limited number of the small areas used for the forecasts, so your review should not take long. Metro has allocated about 2 ½ months for you to get that done, through the end of April. During May there will be a review process at Metro at which time they may get back to you with questions.

Based on the information provided by Dennis and Jim this week, I think Metro has done everything they can to make this process as easy as possible for the cities. I have attached Dennis’s presentation to this email for your review. I am more than happy to help with any questions you might have, and I know that Dennis and Jim feel the same way. Please let me know if there is any way I can help.

Have a great weekend.

Steve

Stephen Williams, Principal Transportation Planner

Clackamas County Department of Transportation and Development

150 Beavercreek Road, Oregon City, Oregon 97045

(503) 742-4696

The Clackamas County Department of Transportation and Development is dedicated to providing excellent customer service. Please help us to serve you better by giving us your feedback. We appreciate your comments and will use them to evaluate and improve the quality of our public service.