A B C D E
1 DEQ Art Glass Permanent Rule      
2 Fiscal Impact Estimate for proposed rule- Bullseye      
4 Bullseye- Tier 2    
5 Requirements summary Install control device on all furnaces using metal HAPs. If using chrome: source test & modeling to develop daily & annual max usage
Then follow the max usage limits
   
6   Cost Estimate    
7   low high    
8 Permitting costs        
9 NESHAP 6S applies? Y    
10 Needs Title V permit because of 6S? Y    
11 Cost of Title V application (including DEQ fees + consultant to prepare $25,000 $100,000 If a facility needs a Title V due to NESHAP 6S, that is independent of this art glass rule, so this cost isn't included in the totals.  
12 Incremental extra cost of Title V application due to art glass rule $0 $5,000    
13 Annual DEQ Title V permit costs $10,310 $11,510 If a facility needs a Title V due to NESHAP 6S, that is independent of this art glass rule, so this cost isn't included in the totals.  
14 Incremental extra cost of Title V annual permit fees due to art glass rule $0 $0    
16 Number of Control Devices        
17   0 2 # of additional baghouses installed, over and above what would have been installed due to NESHAP 6S alone  
19 Costs Per Control Device        
20 install baghouse $250,000 $400,000    
21 annual operation $15,000 $70,000 electricity, bag replacement etc  
22 Annual cost to monitor and report on baghouse to DEQ $12,000 $17,000    
23 One-time source test to demonstrate 99% PM control efficiency $4,000 $15,000 Assume length of run depends on detection limits, does not have to be entire production run to show capture efficiency.  
24 Total one-time costs per baghouse $254,000 $415,000    
25 Total annual costs per baghouse $27,000 $87,000    
27 Total Control Device Costs attributable to proposed rule    
28 Total one-time costs for baghouses $0 $830,000    
29 Total annual costs for baghouses $0 $174,000    
31 Source Testing Costs        
32 One-time source test to measure Cr6 emissions when making products containing Cr3 or Cr6 $60,000 $65,000 Assume this requires 16 hr runs. At some facilities, may be able to run concurrently with 99% control efficiency test, reducing cost. $10-15k if test can be done in 1-3 hr runs. If 16hr runs, $65k. If 4-day runs, $100k.
34 Modeling Costs        
35 One-time modeling to find max production rate that results in acceptable source impact level    
36 AERSCREEN model only $10,000 -    
37 AERSCREEN followed by AERMOD model - $30,000    
39 Total Costs        
40 one-time costs $70,000 $930,000    
41 annual costs $0 $174,000    

Bullseye cost

  A B C D
1 DEQ Art Glass Permanent Rule    
2 Fiscal Impact Estimate for proposed rule- Uroboros  
4 Uroboros- Tier 2  
5 Requirements summary Install control device on all furnaces using metal HAPs. If using chrome: source test & modeling to develop daily & annual max usage
Then follow the max usage limits
 
6   Cost Estimate  
7   low high  
8 Permitting costs      
9 NESHAP 6S applies? Y  
10 Needs Title V permit because of 6S? Y  
11 Cost of Title V application (including DEQ fees + consultant to prepare $15,000 $55,000 If a facility needs a Title V due to NESHAP 6S, that is independent of this art glass rule, so this cost isn't included in the totals.
12 Incremental extra cost of Title V application due to art glass rule $0 $2,750  
13 Annual DEQ Title V permit costs $8,500 $8,500 If a facility needs a Title V due to NESHAP 6S, that is independent of this art glass rule, so this cost isn't included in the totals.
14 Incremental extra cost of Title V annual permit fees due to art glass rule $0 $0  
16 Number of Control Devices      
17   0 1 # of additional baghouses installed, over and above what would have been installed due to NESHAP 6S alone
19 Costs Per Control Device      
20 install baghouse $355,000 $610,000  
21 annual operation $15,000 $70,000 electricity, bag replacement etc
22 Annual cost to monitor and report on baghouse to DEQ $12,000 $17,000  
23 One-time source test to demonstrate 99% PM control efficiency included in source testing cost below Assume length of run depends on detection limits, does not have to be entire production run to show capture efficiency.
24 Total one-time costs per baghouse $355,000 $610,000  
25 Total annual costs per baghouse $27,000 $87,000  
27 Total Control Device Costs attributable to proposed rule  
28 Total one-time costs for baghouses $0 $610,000  
29 Total annual costs for baghouses $0 $87,000  
31 Source Testing Costs      
32 One-time source test to measure Cr6 emissions when making products containing Cr3 or Cr6 $56,000 $56,000  
34 Modeling Costs      
35 One-time modeling to find max production rate that results in acceptable source impact level  
36 AERSCREEN model only $10,000 -  
37 AERSCREEN followed by AERMOD model - $30,000  
39 Total Costs      
40 one-time costs $66,000 $698,750  
41 annual costs $0 $87,000  

Uroboros cost

  A B C D E F G H
1 DEQ Art Glass Permanent Rule            
2 Fiscal Impact Estimate for proposed rule- Tier 1 CAGM          
4 Tier 1 (Northstar, Trautman and Glass Alchemy)  
5 Requirements summary Do 1 of these at all furnaces:
Install control device
Source test & modeling to show impact below limits
Request permit condition to not use metal HAPs
 
6   Cost Estimate  
7   If doing source test and modeling only If installing control device If taking permit condition to stop using metal HAPs  
8   low high low high low high  
9 Permitting costs              
10 NESHAP 6S applies? N N N  
11 Rule would require facility to get new permit Yes, ACDP Yes, ACDP Yes, ACDP  
12 Application Fee $ 7,200 $ 7,200 $ 7,200 $ 7,200 $ 7,200 $ 7,200  
13 Consultant to prepare application - - - - - -  
14 Annual Permit Fee (applies at time of application and each year after) $ 4,608 $ 4,608 $ 4,608 $ 4,608 $ 4,608 $ 4,608  
16 Control Device Costs              
17 install baghouse - - $250,000 $400,000 - -  
18 annual operation - - $15,000 $70,000 - - electricity, bag replacement etc
20 Reporting Costs              
21 Annual cost to monitor and report on baghouse to DEQ - - $12,000 $17,000 - -  
23 Source Testing Costs              
24 One-time source test to measure metal emissions including total Cr. (Total Cr can be used as a proxy for Cr6) $15,000 $25,000          
25 One-time source test to measure Cr6 emissions when making products containing Cr3 (optional) $0 $65,000 If Tier 1 and using control device, don't have to test for Cr6. - - test length depends on detection limits
26 One-time source test to demonstrate 99% PM control efficiency - - $4,000 $15,000 - -  
28 Modeling Costs              
29 One-time modeling to find max production rate that results in acceptable source impact level  
30 AERSCREEN model only $10,000 - - - - -  
31 AERSCREEN followed by AERMOD model - $30,000 - - - -  
33 Cost of reduced production              
34 stopping production of materials containing Cr6 (required to take source test + modeling exemption) unknown unknown - - About 1/2 of products contain metal HAPs. There may not be workable substitute formulations. Facilities may choose to phase out one or a few metal HAPs but are likely to choose source test & modeling or installation of a control device.  
35 reduced production if source testing shows it's needed to meet receptor conc limits unknown unknown - -  
37 Total Costs              
38 one-time costs $32,200 $127,200 $261,200 $422,200 $7,200 $7,200  
39 annual costs $4,608 $4,608 $31,608 $91,608 50% of facility profit (?)  

Tier1 cost

  A B C
1 Baghouse install and operation costs
3 Cost Estimate for Northstar Glass to add baghouses, as listed by Abe Fleishman on the phone on 4/27/2016
5 low high  
6 $300,000 $300,000 installation of baghouse
7 $14,000 $16,000 electricity cost
8 $40,000 $70,000 new estimate of electricity cost 5/17 phone call with Abe
9 $15,000 $70,000 combined estimate
11 $12,000 $12,000 monitoring baghouse, assembling for reporting to DEQ (5/5/2016 estimate)
12 $8,000 $10,000 staff time to monitor and report results (previous estimate)
15 Cost estimate for Bullseye baghouse installation per phone call with Eric Durrin 5/13/2016
16 $250k for purchase order for new baghouse to handle 11 furnaces.
18 Cost estimate for monitoring and reporting from 5/27/2016 fiscal advisory committee meeting
19 $0 per year monitoring and reporting cost, if computer control system produces the data DEQ needs. But, this didn't consider annual baghouse inspection etc.
20 $17,000 per year upper limit on monitoring and reporting cost, based on labor rate + time to perform estimate
22 Phone conversation with Eric Durrin (Bullseye) on 5/31/2016
23 Baghouse 1: currently online and handling 2 furnaces
24 Baghouse 2: being brought online now. Will handle 1 furnace and can later be connected to 1 more furnace
25 Baghouse 3: contractors are plumbing and connecting electrical. Will handle 11 furnaces.
26 Baghouse 4: in planning, will start after install and testing of baghouse 3. "Another large baghouse", so it may be same scale as Baghouse 3. After this baghouse is installed, the smaller baghouse 1 and 2 could be repurposed.
28 Eric was not able to say how many furnaces are large enough to be subject to 6S, so difficult to know how many baghouses are 'additional'.
29 Some furnaces are subject to 6S, and some baghouse would be required due to that. I think that estimating 1 additional baghouse is likely to be accurate. I could estimate zero to two.
31 Phone conversation with Eric Lovell (Uroboros) on 5/31/2016
32 low high  
33 $350,000 $550,000 baghouse install
34 $35,000 $55,000 10% contingency on baghouse install
35 $5,000 $5,000 City of Portland mechanical permit
36 $355,000 $610,000 low / high estimates on baghouse install

baghouse

  A B C D
1 Dispersion modeling cost estimate  
3 Phone conversation with Don Caniparoli of CH2M on 5/13/2016
5 air modeling can be done approximating the multiple stacks as one stack
6 parameters needed:    
7   emissions velocity and temperature
8   stack height  
9   mass emissions rate (g/hr)
10   topographic data (depends on model)
11   met data (depends on model
14 from simplest and most conservative to more complex:
15   $3k-5k SCREEN3 simplest screening model, EPA recommends AERSCREEN as its replacement
16   $10k AERSCREEN EPA recommended screening model
17   $20k AERMOD "full modeling", requires hourly met data
19 One approach is to go straight to AERMOD. Or, you could start with the simplest and move on if needed based on the results.
20 The modeling could tell you the maximum mass mass emissions rate (g/hr) that will keep the conc at the receptor below the required limit. So you could calculate your max production rate from that, for each pollutant.
21 The above costs are per-facility and not per-pollutant. It doesn't have to be run for each pollutant individually.
22 https://www3.epa.gov/scram001/dispersion_screening.htm
24 Summary cost:    
25 $10,000 low AERSCREEN only
26 $30,000 high AERSCREEN then AERMOD
29 Talked with Phil Allen at DEQ on 5/23/2016. He thought that the $10k for AERSCREEN, or $30k total for AERSCREEN + AERMOD sounded about right.

modeling

  A
1 Source testing cost estimate
3 Talked with Thomas Rhodes at Horizon Environmental
4 Phone call 5/13/2016
6 $65k for three, 16-hr runs at the big Tier 2 manufacturers. (Their batch process takes ~16 hrs)
7 If they could do the standard shorter runs (three, 1-3hr runs) then that would be $10k to $15k.
9 The smaller manufacturers use a process that may take 4 days. If source testing had to take place over that entire 4 days, that would be approx $100k.
11 This is for DEQ method 5 testing at 1 stack. If multiple stacks had to be tested, that would almost be a multiple of the cost.
12 Total chrome and the other metals can all be tested with a single sample train.
13 If testing for Cr6, that requires a separate test run (with a separate sample train) so that would be another $65k.
15 Can't test for Cr6 at the same time as filterable particulate because Cr6 test requires recirculating a fluid to the tip of the sample intake. That fluid would wet and block the filter.
16 Can test for filterable particulate and metals (total Cr, Cd As etc) in a single sampling train, as long as you aren't testing for Cr6.
18 Talked with David Monro 5/16/2016
19 He used to work for a source testing company.
21 To test 99% baghouse filterable PM capture efficiency you don't need to measure an entire production run. You just need to compare the input vs the output over a time period long enough that detection limits allow you to demonstrate that if input is X, output is 0.01X. David estimates $4k to $6k for this kind of test if can be done with standard 1-hr runs.
22 To measure Cr3 conversion to Cr6 you'd need to source test over the entire production run, so that'd be 16hrs per run for the big facilities. David estimated $60k for Cr6 testing with 16 hr runs.
23 Tier 1 facilities that opt for source testing + modeliing would be testing for metals instead of PM. Their run length might be determined by modeling, which would show what detection limit was needed in order to show whether emissions were above / below source impact limits. David estimated this testing would be about $15k to $25k.
24 Tier 1 facilities that opt for source testing + modeling have the option to assume all Cr is Cr6 for modeling purposes. If they chose for some reason to test for Cr6 conversion their cost would also likely be about $60k.
26 Estimate from Don Caniparoli at CH2M on phone 5/24/2016
27 Based on a conversation with a CH2M coworker, Don estimated that a source test for filterable PM and metals (not Cr6) with short 1 to several hour runs would cost $15k.
29 Estimate from Eric Lovell on phone 5/31/2016
30 $56k for complete source test. I assume that means testing the control device meets 99% as well as Cr3 to Cr6 conversion.

source testing

  A B C
1 Title V application fee estimate
4 Estimate from Don Caniparoli at CH2M on phone 5/24/2016
5 low high  
6 $25,000 $50,000 cost of consultant to prepare Title V app
9 Estimate from Eric Durrin by phone
10 $100,000   cost of consultant and DEQ Title V application fees
12 Estimate of Title V annual fees from DEQ rules
13 http://arcweb.sos.state.or.us/pages/rules/oars_300/oar_340/340_220.html
14 $0 no application fee for Title V permits
15 $7,910 annual base fee for 2016. Adjusted annually for inflation.
16 $59.81 emissions fee, per ton of emissions
17 low high  
18 40 60 tons of emissions per year (PM10, SO2, Nox)
19 $2,392 $3,589 emissions fee
20 $2,400 $3,600 emissions fee estimate (rounded)
21 $10,310 $11,510 total annual Title V permit fees
24 combined estimate  
25 low high  
26 $25,000 $100,000 initial cost for consultant to prepare Title V app
27 $10,310 $11,510 annual Title V permit fees
29 Phone call with Eric Lovell on 5/31/2016 he estimated that his emissions fees would be $500/year.
30 $500 emissions fees
31 $7,910 annual base fee
32 $8,500 total annual Title V permit fees (rounded)
34 $15,000 $50,000 consultant to prepare Title V application
35 $1,500 $5,000 10% contingency on consultant for Title V application
36 $15,000 $55,000 low / high estimates on consultant for Title V application

Title V